January 16, 2024 at 7:10 AM ET
Iowa and New Hampshire, the primary two states to carry their very own nominating contests, have a tendency to provide completely different winners. There are a number of elements that assist clarify this sample.
First, the individuals who vote in every of the early candidate states differ drastically.
Traditionally, nearly all of voters in Iowa have been non secular conservatives, extra rural, and extra more likely to think about themselves “extremely conservative.” Traditionally, about 6 in 10 members of the Iowa Republican caucus establish themselves as white evangelicals or born-again Christians.
Alternatively, GOP major voters in New Hampshire are extra reasonable and extra more likely to stay within the suburbs.
The 2 international locations additionally vote in another way logistically.
Iowa is a closed system, so solely Republicans can take part. However independents are allowed to vote in New Hampshire’s semi-open major, which helps clarify the extra reasonable citizens.
Unaffiliated, or “undeclared,” voters make up about 40% of voters in New Hampshire, to allow them to make a giant distinction.
The New Hampshire major is scheduled for Tuesday, January 23.